Berlin summit backs Libya ceasefire as Haftar’s forces choke oil flows

Talks fail to deliver ‘serious dialogue’ between warring parties or to persuade both sides to agree to permanent truceWorld powers agreed at a summit in Berlin on Sunday to shore up a shaky ceasefire in Libya, though serious progress towards ending fighting and the influx of foreign arms and fighters was not forthcoming.

Meanwhile, forces loyal to the renegade military commander Khalifa Haftar are blockading Libya’s precious oil fields, potentially crippling the country’s production of crude. 

Haftar, whose self-styled Libyan National Army (LNA) is bearing down on the capital Tripoli with the backing of Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Russian mercenaries and African troops, attended the one-day summit in the German capital despite having abandoned talks over a truce last week.

Turkey has rushed troops to Tripoli to help Libya’s internationally recognized Government of National Accord (GNA), led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj, resist Haftar’s assault.

Libya has had no stable central authority since Muammar Gaddafi was overthrown by NATO-backed rebels in 2011. For more than five years it has had two rival governments, in the east and the west.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel told reporters that the Berlin summit, attended by the main backers of the rival Libyan factions, had agreed that a truce in Tripoli over the past week should be turned into a permanent ceasefire to allow a political process to take place.

A special committee made up of five military men from each side will monitor the truce, Merkel said. Foreign powers active in Libya have committed themselves to uphold an existing UN arms embargo and to stop shipping weapons there, she added.

The presidents of Russia, Turkey and France were among global chiefs signing up to the plan to stop interfering in the war – be it through weapons, troops or financing.

“We  commit to refraining from interference in the armed conflict or in the internal affairs of Libya and urge all international actors to do the same,” a draft of the conference conclusions seen by MEE read.

“We reaffirm our strong commitment to the sovereignty, independence, territorial integrity and national unity of Libya. Only a Libyan-led and Libyan-owned political process can end the conflict and bring lasting peace.”

Still, the talks failed to deliver “serious dialogue” between the warring parties or to persuade both sides to agree to a permanent truce.

“It is clear that we have not yet succeeded in launching a serious and stable dialogue between them,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told reporters after the Berlin conference, where Haftar and Sarraj did not meet face to face. 

“We know that we have not solved all of Libya’s problems today but we were aiming for fresh momentum,” Merkel said.

Haftar quit a Turkish-Russian summit a week ago and escalated the conflict on Friday when eastern oil ports were shut down. Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) said the shutdown was directly ordered by Haftar’s forces.

On Sunday, as international leaders were gathering in the German capital, state oil firm NOC said the major southwestern fields of El Sharara and El Feel were closed after forces loyal to Haftar shut a pipeline.

The closures will cut Libya’s oil output to 72,000 barrels a day from 1.2 million bpd in just a few days’ time unless the blockages are lifted, the NOC said.

Any lasting closure could hit Tripoli hard since the government relies on oil revenues to fund its budget.

UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said he was very worried about the closure. German foreign minister Heiko Maas said Sarraj and Haftar had “in general” agreed to solve the output blockage, without giving a timeframe.

A call for a ceasefire from Russia and Turkey helped reduce fighting a week ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin said ahead of a meeting with Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan on the sidelines of the conference.

“We don’t lose hope that dialogue will continue and the conflict will be solved,” Putin said.

For Turkey, the fall of Sarraj’s GNA could jeopardise a maritime boundary agreement the parties signed. It gives Ankara extensive rights over the eastern Mediterranean where the recent discovery of undersea gas reserves has triggered a scramble by littoral states. 

Erdogan has repeatedly urged Europe to stand united behind Sarraj’s government, warning that Tripoli’s fall could allow groups like Islamic State or al-Qaeda to regroup.

He has also cautioned that further unrest could prompt a new wave of migrants to head for Europe.

Amid the latest apparent ceasefire violation in which GNA forces on Sunday accused Haftar’s militia of opening fire on them in southern Tripoli, Sarraj issued a plea for international “protection troops” if Haftar keeps up his offensive.

The call echoed a similar suggestion by the EU’s chief diplomat Josep Borrell, who stressed that monitors must be present to check that any ceasefire and weapons embargo are respected.

With the idea gathering pace, Britain and Italy have voiced readiness to help.

Still, as Guterres noted, that discussion remains premature.

“First, we need to have a ceasefire – we cannot monitor something that doesn’t exist.”

Erdogan: Turkey not yet sent troops to Libya, only advisers

Turkey has not yet sent any troops into Libya to support the country’s internationally-recognized government, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan was cited as saying on Monday, adding that Ankara had only deployed military advisers and trainers so far.

Last week, Erdogan had said Turkey has begun sending troops to Tripoli. He has also previously said Ankara would deploy troops.

Speaking to reporters on a flight back from a Libya summit in Berlin, Erdogan said Turkey’s efforts at the summit had set the groundwork for a ceasefire between the warring parties, according to broadcaster NTV. He added that Turkey’s presence in the North African country increased hopes for peace.